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Karl-Anthony Towns

Karl-Anthony Towns Points
Player Prop - 4/11/2023

Los Angeles Lakers vs Minnesota Timberwolves

 
 
 
Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -140.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has made 51.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 11.7% more than he's made from three over the course of the season.
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 31.8 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a tough one for three-pointers; their opposition have posted the 2nd-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (34.1%).
  • The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for field goal attempts; the other team's starting Cs have averaged the 21st-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.9).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
  • The Lakers have played at the 10th-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 9 games on their home court, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Timberwolves.
  • The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • With the home court advantage, the Lakers have given up the 5th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to the other team over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Karl-Anthony Towns has sunk a measly 4.1 foul shots per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 5.3 mark last season.

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