Karl-Anthony Towns Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Apr 1, 2023 12:07 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 20.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league in this category: 90th percentile.
Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted 5.7 threes per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 86th percentile among all players in the league.
Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 32.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-quickest pace in the league while at home this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against Los Angeles is a hard one; when the Lakers are the visiting squad, they have allowed the 11th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs this year (13.8).
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
When playing on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.6) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Karl-Anthony Towns has attempted just 4.6 free throws per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 6.5 mark last year.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Lakers are away from home (15th-least in the league).