Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Karl-Anthony Towns

C-F · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Karl-Anthony Towns Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+107/-143).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +123 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +107.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Karl-Anthony Towns has successfully made 3.2 3-pointers per game over the last 10 games at home, 0.8 more than he's made from three in all games this year playing at home.
Karl-Anthony Towns has played 32.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Memphis Grizzlies are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.5).
When playing on the road, the Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 10th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.4) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Karl-Anthony Towns has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (98th percentile).
The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the home team with just 8.4 offensive boards per game this year.