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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has posted 7.7 defensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this standard: 98th percentile.

The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

While playing at home, the Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Jusuf Nurkic will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production for all stats.

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