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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds
Player Prop - 12/19/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 11.2 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 3.9 higher than he's tallied overall this season.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 4th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Suns.

Jusuf Nurkic figures to see a decline in output in all facets of the game in light of playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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