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Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Suns have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games playing at home.Among all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic comes in at the 87th percentile for getting to the free-throw line, totaling a monstrous 3.4 free throws per game this year.As a team, the Suns have been terrific at getting to the foul line as the home team: best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 free throws per game.The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; when Gobert is on the road opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 4.0 foul shots per game (92nd percentile).Jusuf Nurkic will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance for all stats.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jusuf Nurkic has sunk a measly 20.5% of his three-point shots this season, significantly lower than his 31.5 mark last season.Jusuf Nurkic has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (99th percentile).The matchup against Rudy Gobert is a difficult one for 3-point attempts; when Gobert is away from his home court and guarding opposing starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 1.2 three-point shots per game (8th percentile).The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 3rdworst in in the league while playing at home with only 7.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
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