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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has made 57.6% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 6.0% higher than he's made over the course of the season away from home.

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 50.0% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 28.0% more than he's made from beyond the arc in all games this year.

The matchup vs. Rudy Gobert is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; when Gobert is playing at home and facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 3.3 3-pointers per game (97th percentile).

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games at home, which should increase opportunities for the Phoenix Suns.

The Suns have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has committed 3.1 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, ranking him in the 98th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

In terms of 3-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Phoenix Suns.

The 5th-slowest tempo road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

Jusuf Nurkic will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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