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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Atlanta Hawks

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 63.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games at home, 8.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

The Suns check in as the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The Suns have played at the quickest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games at home.

Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games while at home, 1.2 more than he's attempted overall this season at home.

The matchup against Clint Capela is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; when Capela is away from his home court fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted an enormous 3.9 free throws per game (80th percentile).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made just 21.3% of his shots from downtown this season, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 rate last season.

Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (100th percentile).

When guarding other starting Cs, Clint Capela ranks in the 3rd percentile with just 1.1 3-point shots attempted against him per game this year.

The Hawks have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to reduce possessions for the Phoenix Suns.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 8thworst in in the NBA at home with only 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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