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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 3/17/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 59.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 6.6% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year.

The matchup against Brook Lopez is a favorable one for shots from the field; when matched up against fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a colossal 12.0 field goals per game (96th percentile).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Suns grade out best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 14.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 31.5% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's 3-point prowess has tailed off this year to 21.3%.

Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 99th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.

In terms of shots from behind the three-point arc, the 2nd-least aggressive team in the NBA as the road team over the last 25 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Bucks have played at the 10th-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games at home, which should lead to fewer plays for the Phoenix Suns.

The number of fouls drawn by fellow starting Cs against Brook Lopez has been remarkably low this year (2.3 free throws per game: 4th percentile).

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