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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 2/25/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Lakers

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 66.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games at home, 12.4% more than he's made in all games this season when playing at home.

The Phoenix Suns rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a good one for 3-pointers; when squaring off against other starting Cs this year, they have successfully made a monstrous 42.0% of their three-pointers (100th percentile).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should increase opportunities for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has made just 22.4% of his attempts from downtown this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 rate last year.

Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Suns have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Lakers have allowed the most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the league to opposing squads over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup against Anthony Davis is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when facing other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.6 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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