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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -122 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has made 63.8% of his field goals over the last 10 games at home, 11.6% more than he's put through the net in all games this season when playing at home.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.

The number of shots from downtown made against Jalen Duren has been very high (1.0 per game) when he is on the road and defending other starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Detroit Pistons have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to lead to more plays for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk a mere 22.4% of his 3-point attempts this year, a sizeable decrease from his 31.5 rate last year.

Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

This matchup is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing teams have shot for the 4th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 10 games on the road (39.7%).

The Suns check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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