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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 1/29/2024

Miami Heat vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 58.4% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 9.6% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 10 games on the road, 25.6% more than he's converted overall this year when playing on the road.

The Suns rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home.

The 9th-fastest tempo road team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

While playing at home, the Heat have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.6) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.

The matchup against Bam Adebayo is a tough one; he has allowed a lowly 11.4 points per game when squaring off against other starting Cs this year (3rd percentile).

The Phoenix Suns will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the most lethargic tempo team in the league over the last 25 games (the Miami Heat).

Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 1stworst in in the NBA with a mere 7.5 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

The matchup with Bam Adebayo when it comes to drawing fouls ranks in the 10th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting only 2.5 free throws per game this year.

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