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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 1/28/2024

Orlando Magic vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of offense, the Suns's excellent 128.0 points per game as the road team rates strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The 7th-most up-tempo tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

This year when they are away from home, their opposition has nabbed 8.8 offensive boards per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (lessening possessions that could otherwise produce additional opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This matchup is a strong one for 3-point shots; opposing teams have put up the 6th-highest three rate in the league over the last 5 games at home (39.7%).

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this game from competing against the most lethargic pace offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Orlando Magic).

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns grade out 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

This matchup may be a favorable one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Magic are playing at home, opposing teams have attempted a colossal 26.2 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (2nd-most in the league).

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