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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 1/7/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Memphis Grizzlies

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has made 61.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.3% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season.

The Suns have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games as the home team.

This matchup is a tough one for shots from the field; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, opposing squads have put up the 5th-lowest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (46.0%).

The showdown with Bismack Biyombo rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the opposing team's starting Cs registering a monstrous 16.1 points per game this year.

The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while traveling, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Suns.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 98th percentile for personal fouls, logging a monstrous 3.4 fouls per game when playing at home this year.

The Phoenix Suns have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the league this year.

Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Suns rank 7thworst in in the league on their home court with only 9.7 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, opposing teams have brought down 10.8 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the NBA) against the Grizzlies (lengthening possessions that can lead to bonus opportunities for offense).

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