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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has made 61.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this year.

The Phoenix Suns rank as the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home.

The faceoff with Bam Adebayo rates in only the 97th percentile for difficulty with the other side's starting Cs scoring a massive 66.9% of their shot attempts from the field this year.

The quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

This year, opposing clubs have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has averaged 36.7 3-point attempts per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a challenging one for getting to the charity stripe; when matched up against other starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.6 free throws per game (10th percentile).

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