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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 12/31/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Orlando Magic

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Suns rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games at home.

The Magic have played at the 5th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise opportunities for the Suns.

The Orlando Magic have allowed the least offensive boards per game (9.3) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 3.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.2 higher than he's made over the course of the year with the home court advantage.

Jusuf Nurkic is expected to get a boost in productivity for all stats due to having the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The matchup with Goga Bitadze ranks in the 13th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs averaging a mere 13.3 points per game this year when they are on their home court.

The most sluggish pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup with Goga Bitadze in regard to getting to the charity stripe lands in the 13th percentile for difficulty with rival starting Cs attempting a mere 2.3 foul shots per game this year when they have the home court advantage.

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