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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 12/19/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has sunk 5.9 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 5thbest in in the league on the road with 11.8 offensive boards per game this year.

Playing at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the 6th-least offensive boards per game (10.3) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic has made a whopping 73.3% of his free throws this season, significantly more than his 65.6 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has been called for 3.5 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

As it relates to scoring, the Phoenix Suns's poor 112.2 points per game settles in as the 7th-fewest in the league over the last 10 games.

This matchup is a strong one for scoring; when the Portland Trail Blazers are on their home court, opposing clubs have compiled the highest field goal percentage in the NBA against them this year (51.4%).

The matchup vs. Deandre Ayton is a difficult one for field goal attempts; when Ayton is on his home court and guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted just 7.5 field goals per game (3rd percentile).

The least up-tempo tempo visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

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