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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 12/1/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Denver Nuggets

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has successfully made 53.0% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 9.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the year while playing at home.

The Suns have been the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year.

Without the home court advantage, the Denver Nuggets have allowed the 5th-least offensive boards per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Jusuf Nurkic has made an impressive 78.6% of his free throws this season, significantly higher than his 65.6 rate last season.

This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.8 foul shots per game (27th-highest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 97th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.

The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a tough one for field goals; the opposing team's starting Cs have compiled the 14th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (47.5%).

The slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA this year (the Nuggets).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Phoenix Suns rank 7thworst in in the NBA on their home court with just 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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