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Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-122).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The matchup vs. the New York Knicks is a favorable one for scoring; the opposing team's starting Cs have posted the 29th-highest field goal percentage in the league this year (66.7%).The Phoenix Suns check in as the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).At home, the Knicks have given up the least offensive boards per game (8.1) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).Jusuf Nurkic has attempted 4.5 free throws per game this year, significantly more than his 3.8 rate last year.This year, opposing starting Cs have attempted 4.5 free throws per game (26th-most in the league) against the New York Knicks, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Jusuf Nurkic has converted a measly 3.6 baskets per game this year, significantly less than his 5.0 mark last year.In contrast to last year's 30.7% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's three-point effectiveness has regressed this year to 9.5%.Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic slots into the 97th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a massive 3.6 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.In regard to three-point attempts, the 7th-least aggressive team in the NBA with the home court advantage over the last 5 games has been the Phoenix Suns.The Phoenix Suns have played at the 3rd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road.
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