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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 11/22/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Suns rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Golden State is a favorable one for field goal attempts; when the Warriors are the visiting team, the opposition's starting Cs have totaled the 30th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (12.5).

Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, opposing clubs have captured 9.7 offensive rebounds per game (8th-lowest in the league) vs. the Warriors (minimizing possessions that could otherwise produce additional chances for offense).

Jusuf Nurkic has converted an impressive 81.3% of his foul shot attempts this year, a sizeable increase from his 65.6 mark last year.

This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting Cs have attempted 5.9 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Warriors, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has converted a mere 3.7 shots made from the field per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 5.0 rate last season.

Out of all players in the league, Jusuf Nurkic lands in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a monstrous 3.3 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

The Suns have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

The Phoenix Suns check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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