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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 11/8/2023

Chicago Bulls vs Phoenix Suns

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This year, the opposing team's starting Cs have averaged 57.4% on 3-pointers (26th-best in the NBA) against the Chicago Bulls, creating a good matchup.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 12thbest in in the league when playing on the road with 14.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Away from their home court, the Bulls have allowed the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting Cs have attempted 4.4 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Bulls, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.5 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (100th percentile).

In terms of scoring, the Suns's feeble 105.8 points per game at home rates 9th-weakest in the NBA this year.

The Suns have played at the 9th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Chicago Bulls have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the {OPP_TEAM}.

In contrast to last year's 65.6% rate, Jusuf Nurkic's foul-shot prowess has diminished this year to 79.2%.

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