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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Points
Player Prop - 11/2/2023

Phoenix Suns vs San Antonio Spurs

Jusuf Nurkic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-102/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The matchup vs. the Spurs is a good one for 3-pointers; opposing starting Cs have shot for the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA since the start of last season (42.0%).

The San Antonio Spurs have played at the 6th-quickest tempo in the league away from their home city this year, which should boost plays for the Suns.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns rank 9thbest in in the league when playing away from home with 11.5 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season when they are on their home court, opposing teams have collected 10.1 offensive rebounds per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) against the Spurs (diminishing possessions that could otherwise create additional opportunities for offense).

Jusuf Nurkic is expected to see an increase in performance across the board as a result of owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (93rd percentile).

Jusuf Nurkic has converted 67.7% of his foul shot attempts playing at home since the start of last season, putting him in the 21st percentile out of all players in the league.

As a team, the Phoenix Suns have been quite unsuccesful at drawing fouls playing at home: 5th-worst in the league since the start of last season, drawing a measly 21.9 foul shots per game.

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