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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 1/5/2024

Phoenix Suns vs Miami Heat

Jusuf Nurkic Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-117/-117).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In terms of 3-point shots, the Suns's fantastic 38.3% rate of made threes while at home rates strongest in the league over the last 20 games.

The quickest pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Phoenix Suns.

This year, opposing clubs have snagged 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate additional chances for offense).

Jusuf Nurkic will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home city generally raises player performance in all facets of the game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).

Over the last 25 games, their opposition has averaged 36.7 3-point attempts per game (8th-most in the league) vs. the Miami Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.

The matchup vs. Bam Adebayo is a challenging one for shots from downtown; when defending fellow starting Cs this year, they have converted a lowly 18.5% of their attempts from beyond the arc (7th percentile).

The Phoenix Suns are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

The Suns rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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