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Jusuf Nurkic

Jusuf Nurkic Assists
Player Prop - 11/15/2023

Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Jusuf Nurkic Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jusuf Nurkic has posted an impressive 4.6 assists per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 2.9 assists per game last season.

The Suns are expected to see a rise in plays in this game from being pitted against the 8th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Phoenix Suns grade out 8thbest in in the NBA with the home court advantage with 12.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

Jusuf Nurkic will likely see a spike in performance in all facets of the game in light of owning the home court advantage in this contest.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Jusuf Nurkic has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (91st percentile).

The 5th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Suns.

When playing at home, the Timberwolves have allowed the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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