Julius Randle Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Steals

New York Knicks vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Jan 1, 2024

Updated Jan 1, 2024 3:07 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has put up 0.9 steals per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 78th percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Among all players in the league, Julius Randle rates in the 93rd percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.8 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The 3rd-speediest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the New York Knicks.
Julius Randle ought to see a spike in effectiveness across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has tallied 0.3 technical fouls per game over the last 15 games, 0.1 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.
The Knicks are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions today from squaring off against the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games (the Minnesota Timberwolves).