Julius Randle Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 8:14 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has put up 7.3 defensive rebounds per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, totaling a massive 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season.
Julius Randle figures to get a boost in output in all stat categories as a result of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game while on his home court since the start of last season, putting him in the 90th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The 9th-most lethargic pace team in the NBA this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to decrease possessions for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 5thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.0 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.