Julius Randle Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/17/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Rebounds

New York Knicks vs Houston Rockets · Jan 17, 2024

Updated Jan 17, 2024 7:22 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-145/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has averaged 7.1 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 97th percentile.
Julius Randle has been on the court for 35.1 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Houston Rockets).
The New York Knicks check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The Rockets have allowed the 8th-least offensive boards per game (10.4) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Julius Randle comes in at the 79th percentile for technical fouls, tallying a colossal 0.1 fouls per game at home this year.
The New York Knicks have played at the least up-tempo tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year.