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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/22/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

 
 
 
Julius Randle Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -128.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has tallied 8.3 defensive rebounds per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 99th percentile.
  • Julius Randle has played 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 97th percentile.
  • The New York Knicks have been the best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Julius Randle has averaged 4.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 0.9 more than he's averaged overall this year on the road.
  • The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court.
  • The Heat have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games in their home stadium, which ought to reduce plays for the Knicks.
  • Julius Randle will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduces player production across the board.

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