Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs · May 10, 2026

Updated May 10, 2026 7:28 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+113/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -178 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 8th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out best in in the league as the home team with 14.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against San Antonio may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 3.9 free throws per game over the last 24 games when the Spurs are on the road (4th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 5 games as it relates to three-point attempts.
Over the last 15 games, opposing starting PFs have averaged 15.8 points per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, marking this as a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.