Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 25, 2026

Updated Apr 25, 2026 8:38 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-112/-101).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have shot 44.8% on 3-pointers (5th-best in the NBA) against the Nuggets, designating this as a good matchup.
The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to increase opportunities for the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, and the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 5th-best in in the league while playing at home with 13.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.