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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 1/6/2026

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+136/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +136.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).
  • The 10th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
  • Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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