Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/6/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Miami Heat · Jan 6, 2026

Updated Jan 6, 2026 10:45 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (+136/-170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ +136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Miami Heat is a favorable one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.4%).
The 10th-most up-tempo pace home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to increased possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves grade out 8th-best in in the league playing at home with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Heat, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.