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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 5/12/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has converted 8.0 baskets per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Julius Randle has converted 2.6 treys per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted from 3-point range overall this year when playing away from home.

Julius Randle has averaged 32.6 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 89th percentile.

The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games as the visting team.

The matchup against Golden State is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Warriors have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the league this year (15.8).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.

The Warriors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and spark further chances for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 9thworst in in the NBA away from their home court with only 10.4 offensive boards per game this year.

Relative to last year's 6.6 clip, Julius Randle's number of free throws has decreased this year to 4.9 free throws per game.

The matchup against Golden State is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted just 3.1 foul shots per game this year when the Warriors are playing at home (9th-least in the NBA).

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