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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 3/16/2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Utah Jazz

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -134.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has been on the court for 32.1 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 85th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 2.4 three-pointers per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, marking this as a favorable matchup.

The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Jazz).

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Timberwolves rank 3rd-best in in the NBA at home with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 5.9 foul shots per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Jazz, finding it easy to draw fouls.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 24.0 clip, Julius Randle's points per game have declined this year to 18.9.

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle comes in at the 77th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for failed three-point shots, totaling a massive 3.1 per game this year.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 7th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.

Julius Randle has attempted a lowly 5.2 free throws per game this season, significantly lower than his 6.6 rate last season.

More Julius Randle Player Props

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