Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 1/11/2025

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 11, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle ranks in the 89th percentile, averaging a monstrous 19.6 points per game this year.
Julius Randle has averaged 32.5 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting PFs have averaged 6.5 3-point attempts per game (most in the league) against the Grizzlies, labeling this as a good matchup.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle comes in at the 87th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a monstrous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
The 2nd-slowest tempo offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 10thworst in in the league with only 10.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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