Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/4/2024

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

LA Clippers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Dec 4, 2024

Updated Dec 5, 2024 4:05 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-133/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -133.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has played 33.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have been the 9th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 6 games on the road.
Julius Randle has attempted 10.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the LA Clippers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has converted a lowly 7.2 baskets per game this season, significantly less than his 8.6 mark last season.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for threes; when the Clippers have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the least three-pointers per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while playing on the road with just 9.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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