Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs LA Clippers · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-148/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has scored 21.7 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 91st percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle comes in at the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 34.0 minutes per game while at home this year.
When it comes to three-point shots, the Timberwolves's superb 16.0 sunk threes per game at home settles in as the 3rd-best in the NBA this year.
Julius Randle has attempted 9.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.5 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the Clippers, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.

Favors Under

The matchup against the LA Clippers is a challenging one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.2%).
The 4th-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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