Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

reorder

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Boston Celtics vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 24, 2024 8:14 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has posted 21.7 points per game this year, putting him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 90th percentile.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle rates in the 89th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 34.3 minutes per game this year.
As it relates to scoring, the Timberwolves's remarkable 115.2 points per game while playing away from home measures as the 8th-highest in the league over the last 5 games.
Julius Randle has attempted 9.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted overall this season.
The matchup vs. Boston is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 3.9 free throws per game this year when the Boston Celtics are playing at home (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

Julius Randle has shot and missed 4.2 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have scored 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Celtics, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play road offense in the league this year has been the Timberwolves.
The Celtics have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league at home this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).