Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 21.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has tallied 21.1 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 90th percentile.
Julius Randle has made 52.7% of his field goals this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle registers in the 83rd percentile for playing time, compiling a colossal 33.5 minutes per game this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year in terms of 3-point shots.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should raise possessions for the Timberwolves.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Portland Trail Blazers is a difficult one for three-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 4th-lowest three rate in the league this year (29.6%).
The 10th-most sluggish pace away team in the league this year has been the Minnesota Timberwolves.
The Timberwolves have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the visting team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Julius Randle will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally decreases player performance across the board.

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