Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 10/24/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Oct 24, 2024

Updated Oct 24, 2024 10:09 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle rates in the 95th percentile, registering a massive 23.8 points per game since the start of last season.
Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle registers in the 82nd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, putting up 5.3 per game since the start of last season.
Julius Randle has averaged 35.4 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, ranking him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Timberwolves's fantastic 38.2% rate of sunk threes places 3rd-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on shots from the field (6th-best in the league) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the league since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves grade out 8thworst in in the league with only 9.6 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
Over the last 20 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Kings, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Julius Randle will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium tends to reduce player production in all facets of the game.