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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 12/25/2023

New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has registered 27.1 points per game over the last 10 games, 4.3 more than he's registered in all games this year.

Julius Randle has played 34.2 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 1.8 3-pointers per game (24th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks, creating a favorable matchup.

The New York Knicks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Knicks are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last season's 8.1 rate, Julius Randle's three-point attempts have regressed this season to 5.1 per game.

Julius Randle has averaged 0.4 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.3 more than he's averaged overall this year.

In regard to shooting, the New York Knicks's feeble 46.3% field goal rate with the home court advantage ranks 7th-worst in the league this year.

The Bucks have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Over the last 25 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (13th-fewest in the NBA) against the Milwaukee Bucks, struggling to get to the foul line.

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