Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs New York Knicks · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 3:28 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle measures in the 92nd percentile for shots taken while playing on the road, putting up 17.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Julius Randle lands in the 78th percentile for 3-point attempts away from home, posting 5.1 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Julius Randle ranks in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a whopping 34.5 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 30th-most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Lakers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the New York Knicks.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Knicks's subpar 46.3% field goal percentage settles in as the 9th-fewest in the NBA this year.
The 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the New York Knicks.
The matchup against Los Angeles may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Lakers are playing at home (15th-least in the NBA).
Julius Randle will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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