Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New York Knicks · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:32 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, their opposition has snagged 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise spark further chances for offense).
Julius Randle has attempted 7.4 foul shots per game this year, a big improvement over his 7.2 rate last year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 24.2 mark, Julius Randle's points per game have dropped this season to 20.4.
Relative to last year's 8.1 mark, Julius Randle's 3-point attempts have been reduced this year to 5.9 per game.
In contrast to last season's 3.2 mark, Julius Randle's personal fouls per game have spiked this season to 3.2.
As it relates to scoring, the Knicks's subpar 110.4 points per game away from home settles in as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have shot 42.9% on field goals (10th-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors, branding this as a challenging matchup.

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