Julius Randle Points - Player Prop Bet 11/18/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs New York Knicks · Nov 18, 2023

Updated Nov 18, 2023 11:13 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-115/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has tallied 34.1 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 57.8% on shots from the field (30th-highest in the league) against the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The New York Knicks will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from facing the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year (the Charlotte Hornets).
The New York Knicks have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Charlotte Hornets have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.6) in the NBA to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julius Randle has registered a lowly 19.3 points per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 24.2 points per game last year.
Relative to last season's 8.1 mark, Julius Randle's shot attempts from downtown have diminished this season to 6.3 per game.
When it comes to offense, the New York Knicks's feeble 110.0 points per game ranks 8th-weakest in the league this year.
The most lethargic pace home offense in the league this year has been the Knicks.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (14th-fewest in the league) vs. the Hornets, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.

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