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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 5/8/2023

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks

Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-108/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Julius Randle has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.

The New York Knicks rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Heat have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (9.2) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Julius Randle has attempted 6.7 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Julius Randle has sunk 38.9% of his shots from the field over the last 15 games, -5.5% less than he's put through the hoop overall this season.

Julius Randle has made 20.3% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, -9.3% less than he's converted overall this season.

The New York Knicks have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.

The matchup against the Heat is a difficult one for 3-pointers; the opposition's starting PFs have shot for the 14th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (28.3%).

The New York Knicks have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league over the last 10 games.

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