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Julius Randle

Julius Randle Points
Player Prop - 5/2/2023

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat

 
 
 
Julius Randle Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -135.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Julius Randle has scored a whopping 24.5 points per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 20.1 points per game last season.
  • Julius Randle has attempted 8.2 3-point shots per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 5.4 mark last year.
  • Julius Randle has been on the court for 34.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
  • The Heat have played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Knicks.
  • The New York Knicks rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Miami is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Heat are the visiting team, opposing starting PFs have posted the 15th-lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (25.8%).
  • The New York Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.

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