Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 11/17/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Made 3 Point Shots

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Phoenix Suns · Nov 17, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 8:10 PM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has tallied 33.5 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 84th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
As it relates to 3-point shots, the Minnesota Timberwolves's outstanding 41.6% rate of made threes while playing at home measures as the 3rd-best in the league this year.
The Timberwolves have played at the 10th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Julius Randle stands to get a boost in output across the board due to possessing the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Julius Randle has missed 3.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's missed from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
This year when they are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 three-pointers per game (fewest in the league) against the Suns, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA away from their home city this year, which ought to decrease plays for the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Timberwolves grade out 10thworst in in the NBA with just 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.