Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 3/5/2023

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Made 3 Point Shots

Boston Celtics vs New York Knicks · Mar 5, 2023

Updated Mar 6, 2023 12:41 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has made 3.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 2.2 more than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season away from home.
Julius Randle has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the NBA.
The New York Knicks have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Julius Randle has committed 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the league (94th percentile).
The matchup against Boston is a hard one for attempts from beyond the arc; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the 13th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games when the Celtics have the home court advantage (2.5).
The New York Knicks have played at the slowest pace in the league while playing away from home this year.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Knicks.
With the home court advantage, the Celtics have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

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