Julius Randle Assists - Player Prop Bet 10/26/2024

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · Minnesota Timberwolves

Assists

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Toronto Raptors · Oct 26, 2024

Updated Oct 27, 2024 12:51 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has compiled 4.9 assists per game since the start of last season, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this metric: 88th percentile.
Julius Randle has averaged 35.4 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 95th percentile.
The Timberwolves will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace offense in the NBA since the start of last season (the Raptors).
Julius Randle will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production across the board.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, putting up an enormous 2.7 fouls per game since the start of last season.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace in the NBA since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Minnesota Timberwolves rank 8thworst in in the league with just 9.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.

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