Julius Randle Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2024

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Julius Randle

NBA · Player Props

Julius Randle

F-C · New York Knicks

Assists

New York Knicks vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 25, 2024

Updated Jan 26, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Julius Randle Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-188/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -188.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Julius Randle has posted 5.9 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 higher than he's posted over the course of the season.
Among all players in the NBA, Julius Randle measures in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.1 minutes per game at home this year.
The New York Knicks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, opposing teams have nabbed 8.6 offensive boards per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Nuggets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about more opportunities for offense).
Julius Randle will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Julius Randle measures in the 79th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.4 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league while at home this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games away from their home city, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Knicks.

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