Jrue Holiday Points - Player Prop Bet 4/12/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Jrue Holiday

G · Portland Trail Blazers

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 12, 2026

Updated Apr 12, 2026 9:08 PM EST

Analysis

Jrue Holiday Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 18.1 points per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Kings, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Trail Blazers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Trail Blazers rank best in in the league with 13.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.7 foul shots per game (highest in the NBA) against the Kings, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

As it relates to offense, the Trail Blazers's subpar 45.4% field goal percentage places 2nd-fewest in the league this year.
The Trail Blazers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).